2021 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 97
It’s fair, just getting three hits in a baseball game isn’t good. That’s what the Cubs did on Thursday night. To their credit, they managed to score two runs on those three hits. Without doing a lot of statistical research, I would say that scoring two runs while registering just three hits is probably in the 90th percentile or better of the results. Likewise, teams that score two points lose the overwhelming majority of the time. The Cubs have managed just 14 points in the four-game series at St. Louis. It’s not hard to understand, it’s 3.5 points per game. Slightly better, but still poor.
It’s largely the same old story. When one of the main players is not hot, the offense stops. Anthony Rizzo is freezing right now, Kris Bryant is out of roster. Willson Contreras gets into a fight. Javier Baez has just had a hot streak, but even that hasn’t really pushed the team for too many wins.
This team has below average starting shots and below average offensive production. It’s a horrible combination for winning baseball games. This is how the Cubs have lost 23 of their last 32 games. That kind of pace translates to around 45 or 46 wins over a full season. The talent level of this team is a bit higher than that. But the Cubs have now gone through a nine-game streak that was smoother than they faced in June and early July. They went through that nine-game streak with five losses. Granted, seven of the games were on the road. But again, not good. They will come home for three more of these “sweet” games. the Diamondbacks have historically been bad on the road.
But this team is so much like a team that goes through the movements. Or better yet, like a team holding their collective breath. You have to be wondering at some point if there are any of them that would rather be traded rather than part of the group left behind to pick up the pieces and make the most of them. It’s pretty clear that over the next couple of years, the overwhelming majority of this list will disappear. How many of them want to stay and be part of the transition? They will all tell us they want to be here. But it must be as bad if not more for them than for us.
On the bright side, there are only 65 pages left to turn this season, no matter how badly things go. Let’s come to the numbers. As you will recall, Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA (Win Probability Added) and are by no means subjective. Many days the WPA won’t tell the story of what happened, but it can often at least give a glimpse of who seized the opportunity at a high point or who didn’t get the job done at. that time. And now, let’s get down to the results.
Game 97, July 22: Cardinals 3, Cubs 2 (47-50)
- Super hero : Kris Bryant (.088). 0-0, BB
- Hero: Dan Winkler (.068). ⅔ IP (3 face hitters, 0H, BB, 0R, 0K
- Acolyte: Jake Marisnick (.058). 1-4, 2B, 2RBI, K
- Goat: Robinson Chirinos (-.179). 0-1, DP
- Goat: Anthony Rizzo (-.124). 0-4, K
- Child: Willson Contreras (-.105). 0-4, K
WPA Game Play: Jake Marisnick struck with two strikeouts and runners on first and second, the Cubs lost three runs in the fourth inning. He doubled and scored two runs, reducing the deficit to one. (.180)
* Cardinals game of the game: With no out and a runner in first and no out in the eighth inning, Robinson Chirinos hit a hit for the Cubs and turned into a double play. (.179)
Who was the Cubs player of the game?
65 votes in total
Cumulative Ranking of Heroes and Goats: (Top 3 / Bottom 3)
- Craig Kimbrel / Kris Bryant +20
- Kyle Hendricks +10
- Rex Brothers / Anthony Rizzo -10.5
- Jake Arrieta -14
- Ian Happ -15
Next: The Cubs return home to start a three-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Zach Davies will get the first game. He is 5-6 with a 4.35 ERA. He will face another Zac, in Zac Gallen. Gallen is 1-4 despite having a 3.86 ERA. He was pretty good when the Cubs saw him last week. But again, the D-Backs have been historically bad on the road this season. Hopefully this weekend is a little happier before the group’s games end next week.