Daily picks, odds, odds and tips – the athletic

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Welcome to our Daily Gambling Odds page where you will find the odds of winning for each of the night’s games, along with betting tips based on how those odds stack up against market odds. The odds of play take into account each team’s strength (based on projected lineups), home ice and rest. Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on their roster based on the Value Added Game Score (GSVA). You can read more about GSVA and the model here.

This page will be updated every morning between 10:00 a.m. and 12:00 p.m.

For those who don’t know betting, a few years ago I wrote a guide that still stands. It sums up the basic tricks of the trade and I invite you to read it. While model choices have paid off in the past, there is no guarantee that it will always pay off – please don’t bet the money you aren’t comfortable losing.

For an optimal betting strategy, I would recommend plugging each probability into a Kelly Criterion Calculator with a Kelly multiplier of 0.3 (the full Kelly is a little too aggressive for a sport as varied as hockey). Recommended bet sizes will be included to make life easier for some of you, but these will be based on Bet MGM lines at the time of posting. If you see a different line, the Kelly Criterion calculator linked above is still the reference.


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