Picks for Week 14 including Bills vs. Bucs and Cowboys vs. Washington – The Athletic


What’s a week in the NFL without a twist or wrinkle to keep us on our toes? This week was the long-awaited return (or last possible fight) of betting favorites across the league. Five gaps greater than seven points were covered by the favorites, including three of 10 points or more. While punters and bookmakers alike rejoiced in a “normal” week, there were still six underdogs who won outright, and the under continues to dominate any point total discussion.

Take a look at some of the best week 13 betting data here:

The favorites went 8-6 ATS last week. Just the second time in six weeks, they posted a winning record. It’s been underdog season, but that doesn’t mean big dogs don’t flex their muscles every now and then. There were six more outright wins last week (Detroit!), Bringing the season total to 79 outright wins in 13 weeks.

Detroit was the heaviest underdog to win last week, finally entering the winning column with a 29-27 victory over the Vikings. At one point, the Lions were leading by 14 and looked like they were going to collapse again. But Jared Goff’s touchdown pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown at the end of time made the difference this time around.

The point totals continue to belong at least. Nine of the 14 totals reached within a week, while 14 teams have scored 20 points or less this week. There were also four games where neither team went over 21 points.

As always, there was a big winner last week, and it was the Colts, who crushed the Texans by 31 points.


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