What’s wrong with Kyle Pitts? Who is the # 1 Bills RB? Buy Damien Harris ?! and more fantastic observations from week 3 – The Athletic


This series answers a question for each team after the matches of week 3 (usually looking ahead and “what does that mean?”). It uses advanced metrics, analytics, game strip reviews, statistical trends, and a myriad of other stuff. It introduces a variety of systems, many of which are covered in this introductory article and discussed in more detail at www.TheFootballScientist.com.

(Note: EPA metrics detailed below are by TruMedia. Other advanced metrics outside of KC’s unique metrics are by TruMedia / PFF, unless otherwise noted. Fantasy point totals are in full PPR environments)

Arizona Cardinals

Was James Conner’s game against Jacksonville the harbinger of better days?

Conner ultimately had a hard-hitting fantastic performance, as he scored 18.3 fantasy points against the Jaguars. That’s more than double the 7.9 fantasy points he racked up in Weeks 1 and 2 combined, which caused fantasy managers to consider dropping him.

The main reason Conner did this well is due to two touchdowns per goal inside the 5-yard line, but he has no undisputed claim to rush over the goal line. Conner and Chase Edmonds split the overall snaps almost evenly (47 for Conner, 39 for Edmonds) and split the rushes at the goal line by a six to three margin in Conner’s favor. As long as that is the case, Conner will remain a random hopeful best suited to the flexible one-time startup service.

Atlanta Falcons

Why is Kyle Pitts in trouble?

Pitts recorded just two receptions for 35 yards against the Giants and has now totaled a fantastic 7.1 points or less in two of his first three starts in the NFL.

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